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The information geometry of choice

A probabilistic model of spatial decision making, examining how geometry and uncertainty shape compromise, hedging, and commitment between alternative targets. The visualizations relate movement and changing beliefs to the spatial structure of information.

Background

Target belief

Average belief across runs

StartEnd
Reached targets
TrajectoriesChoose what to follow
View
TargetsSet the choice geometry
Closer togetherFar apart
Starting preferencesChoose starting probabilitiesEqual

Adjust one probability and the others rebalance to total 100%. Evidence can change them during each run.

EvidenceAdjust how beliefs change
More competitionMore cooperation
SlowerFaster
0.025
0.0010.1
Advanced settings

Each path starts with the selected preferences. Random fluctuations can tip the decision toward a target.

About the model

Part of ongoing research on decision making under uncertainty. The simulations examine compromise between alternatives, hedging through movement that keeps several options open, and commitment to a single target. These patterns can be compared across target configurations and parameter settings. Background fields represent posterior belief, entropy, or directional sensitivity.